A spotlight on French and European wine data.

Tag: Wine

As France Grows to Love Rosé, Red Wine and Champagne Face Pressure

With Generation Z coming of age, France is increasingly serving rosé and white wine rather than the traditional ‘ballon de rouge’

Whatever France’s reputation as red wine country, turns out French drinkers are more likely to be found sipping a glass of pale yellow-gold or pink wine these days.

Rosé wine volumes sold in French supermarkets and hypermarkets doubled between 1994 and 2020, data published by crop office FranceAgriMer show. White wines registered comparatively pedestrian 13% volume growth over the period. By contrast, red wine sales fell by more than half.

French hypermarket and supermarket shoppers are turning to rosé wine and away from reds.

Food retail is where most French consumers buy their wine, ahead of specialty stores, bars and restaurants, surveys show. Combined sales volumes of rosés and whites in hypermarkets and supermarkets overtook red wine in 2018, according to the data gathered by Symphony IRI.

Generational shift

There’s clearly a generational shift. One in every three glasses of wine consumed by Generation Z and Millennials is a rosé, according to a Wine Intelligence survey ahead of February’s Vinexpo Paris. That compares with less than one glass in four for wine drinkers aged 55 and over.

The popularity of pink wine is a bit of a French thing. The country accounts for 35% of global rosé intake, according to an observatory by the Provence wine board with FranceAgriMer. That compares with France’s 11% share of overall global wine consumption.

White and rosé wines were the preferred purchase for French shoppers in the 18-to-24 year age range in an OpinionWay survey from September 2021, with less than one in ten choosing red wine. Champagne was the wine to buy for 17% of Gen Z-ers of drinking age.

This colour shift is happening in the context of a vertiginous drop in French wine drinking in recent decades. Average wine consumption fell to 36 liters per capita in 2018 from 71 liters in 1990 and 128 liters in 1960, statistics office Insee says.

Drinking less, but better

Less drinking has also gone hand in hand with a shift away from wines for daily consumption, the “vins de consommation courante,” to higher-quality bottles. An Ipsos survey in October 2021 found consumers were spending an average €11.70 a bottle, an increase of €4.20 from six years earlier.

Red wine producers may take some consolation from these higher prices, which have helped make up for lower sales volumes. The value of red wine sold in French supermarkets and hypermarkets stood at 1.95 billion euros in 2020 from 1.68 billion euros in 1994.

Still, the gains for reds pale in comparison with the jump in value of rosé sold through food retailers, which climbed fourfold to 1.14 billion euros in the same period. White wine sales in supermarkets and hypermarkets more than doubled to 927 million euros, the FranceAgriMer data show.

Growth for rosés, and whites for that matter, has been particularly strong in the category of IGP wines, for Indication Géographique Protégée. Consumers are clearly happy seeking out, say, a rosé produced from cinsault and grenache grapes in the IGP Pays d’Oc, or a white chardonnay from the IGP Val de Loire.

While business in IGP wines has been dynamic, in value and to a lesser extent in volume, the Appellation d’Origine Protégée category has been more lackluster. Typically considered a step up in quality, AOP wines have seen falling volumes, and spending also took a turn for the worse in recent years.

The ramp-up for supermarket sales of rosé coincides with a decline in Champagne shipments in France since 2010. While correlation is not causation, quaffing of bubbly and blush does appear to be heading in opposite directions.

The Decline of Beaujolais: Three Decades of Value Destruction

The Beaujolais wine region has been nursing an extended, three-decade hangover. After a period of booming demand for Beaujolais Nouveau wine at the end of the 20th century, the reputational damage caused by low-quality wine sold under that label has been hard to shake, and vineyard real estate prices have taken a tumble.

With grape harvesting in the region started just over a week ago, the 2021 “nouveau” will be uncorked in two months, on the traditional third Thursday of November. The very young wine accounted for a whopping 30% of the region’s production in 2019, according to data from the local wine board.

After the gold rush

The rush to bottle Beaujolais Nouveau caused some producers in the 1990s and 2000s to flood the market with light wines of dubious quality, famously associated with banana flavours. While the craze passed, the image of low-grade wine stuck, providing a lesson on the perils of short-term gains versus long-term interests.

Few wine regions in France have suffered anything like the plunge in vineyard prices recorded in Beaujolais over the past 30 years. Over that period, the cost of a hectare of Beaujolais-Villages vines slumped 82%, while regular Beaujolais wine property fell around 73%. That’s nominal value, so not adjusted for inflation.

Value destruction in Beaujolais — only vineyards producing Beaujolais crus resisted a three-decade slide

Buying a hectare of vines with the Beaujolais-Villages appellation cost about 9,000 euros in 2020, annual data from rural property agency Safer shows. In 2000, that same area would have cost 36,200 euros – a slide of 75%. Only a few areas in the Bordeaux region experienced anything that comes close, especially Sauternes.

Considering the slide for “regular” Beaujolais and Beaujolais-Villages, vineyards with a communal Appellation d’Origine Protégée (Protected Designation of Origin) outperformed. The Beaujolais crus – including Moulin-a-Vent, Morgon and Brouilly – lost 3.2% of their vineyard value since 1991, with most seeing rising prices in the past decade.

Lagging the average

Still, even the region’s most prestigious areas have lagged average vineyard prices in France, which more than doubled in the past 30 years.

The decline in wine real estate prices in Beaujolais comes as exports for the region tumbled in the past 25 years. Among the French production regions for which EU statistics office Eurostat provides a breakdown, only Beaujolais recorded a drop in export value, down 38% since 1995.

To compare, the Loire Valley nearly doubled the value of its wine shipments abroad, Burgundy and Bordeaux more than doubled their export value and the Rhone Valley tripled its exports since 1995.

The fading foreign appeal of Beaujolais

If there’s a bright spot, it may be the French home market. Beaujolais was the only red AOC wine to maintain stable sales in supermarkets in 2020 compared with the five-year average, while the other main production regions recorded declines, according to Symphony IRI data published by FranceAgriMer.

Wine by numbers…

Wine and data. “In vino veritas,” but also, “lies, damned lies and statistics.”

Carignan grapes

After many years covering the economic and financial aspects of the European wine market for Bloomberg News, I’ve learned there’s quite a lot of industry data that flies under the radar. Vineyard prices rising in one area and slumping in another as consumer tastes change and new markets emerge. Climate-fueled weather disruption wiping out grape harvests and prompting price spikes.

This blog will look at some of this data, for example on what’s happening with vineyard prices, production forecasts and trends for bulk wine, rather than the consumer experience. Numbers driven, with a focus on the long term and an emphasis on France, the wine market I know best.

À la vôtre !

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